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Thursday 14 February 2013

15/02/13 Tips

15.20 Fakenham - Sound Investment
Paul Nicholls sends just one to Fakenham. Won his lto easily and looked as though he would go in again. 3rd the time before to very good Puffin Billy over an inadequate trip.
16.30 Fakenham - Supreme Present NAP
Won his debut well. The form of his 5th lto reads very well as he was 3l behind Mischevious Milly giving her 7lbs. Miscchievous Milly then went on to beat Cevaro of nicky henderson by 21L over this C and D. She went on to win a listed hurdle race with Ma Filleule, Doyly Carte and Call Me A Star behind.
14.25 Sandown - Utopie Des Bordes NB
Beat Paul Nicholls Arkle hope over fences in france. His win on his debut on british soil was workman like, beating Call Me A Star 2l, but that was over too short a trip and should be more comfortable today over 2m 4f. Can't wait to see this one over fences next year.
15.30 Sandown - Master of the Game
Disapopointing on his first two runs but was dropped in distance and won impressively by 17l. Think this trip will be on the sharp side for Tominator.

Friday 25 January 2013

26/01/13 Tips

13.45 Leopardstown - Avrika Ligeonniere to beat Oscars Well
Only two to consider here. Avrika Ligeonniere had Oscars Well 2.5 lengths behind lto over todays course and distance and can't really see that form being reversed today.
15.20 Leopardstown - Ted Veale 9/1
Jockey booking makes this one stand out for me Gigginstown have four in the race yet Davy Russsell rides Ted Veale. Has won on heavy before. Good second behind Sizing Rio lto.
14.25 Cheltenham - Weird Al 12/1
Tidal Bay is only a 50/50 chance to run with a foot injury. 7 length 4th behind Silvinanco Conti in the Betfair Chase with te extra 2 furlongs to suit. Has won on soft before. Good EW in my eyes with good chance of winning this
16.10 Cheltenham - Mr Watson 5/1
APs lowest riding weight in last 12months is 10-4, does 10-3 today. Think Mr Watson is well treated off 127, especially when 6.5 length 5th to Melodic Rendezvous who went on to win the Tolworth Hurdle.
14.50 Wolverhampton - Merevale 14/1
First time handicapping on debut for new yard, who are very shrewd and do well buying low rated horses and winning with them. Stepped up in trip to 14 furlongs.
 

25/01/13 Results

Only one winner today Senyuman at 4/1 (but was 6/1 when advised). Murcur came second by a head at a ew price of 9/2. Peddlers Cross disappointed and could only finish 2nd but think he will definently come on for the run. Drawnfromthepast, Atlantic Beach and Violent Velocity all disappointed badly and couldn't even achieve a place.

Thursday 24 January 2013

25/01/13 Tips

13.30 Lingfield - Atlantic Beach
Looks overpriced and there has already been a bit of a market move for it. Beaten into 8th by Beach Candy (7th), the likely favourite, by 1 length, over c and d, but is 11lbs better off at the weights.
17.00 Wolverhampton - Violent Velocity
Neck behind One Way Or Another last time but effectively 8lbs better off today including Kevin Lundies 7lb claim.
18.00 Wolverhampton - Murcur
Won by 4 lengths last time out and been raised 4lbs for that. 2nd has since came out and won by 5 lengths albeit over a shorter distance. Won again last night. Has the assistance of good apprentice Phillip Prince who takes off 7lbs.
18.30 Wolverhampton - Drawnfromthepast
Won his last 3 runs in claiming company. Has form against all of his rivals over this distance.
19.20 Dundalk - Senyuman
Trainer/ Jockey do very well at the track. Handicap debut and intrestingly the first time Shane Foley gets onboard. EW price may be available early.
Never seen Kemptons card
14.50 Kempton - Peddlers Cross NAP
Really got to win this if he is to be considered as a serious contender for any of his cheltenham entries. McCain obviously didn't want to risk him on the heavy ground so found him this oppurtunity on the AW

24/01/13 Results

Not a very good day today with a short price winner (Sizing Tennessee), a second that could have been backed at an EW price when advised (King George River) and a faller (Westerner Boy) which was going well enough when falling.

24/01/13

15.25 Gowran Park - Westerner Boy
Meant to put this up this morning backed it at 8s now into 4/1 fav, JP likes a punt. Think this is the main reason AP is over today and can hopefully get home in front.

Wednesday 23 January 2013

24/01/13 Tips

Don't fancy much tomorrow so I would keep stakes to a minimum.
15.15 Lingfield - King George River
Won over 8f on debut for Aidan O'Brien before being sent off favourite in a listed contest. Has since change yard and 3rd lto behind El Buen Turisita and the decent yarroom, off 98, is good form. Races off 83 today and good apprentice Phillip Prince takes a valuable 7lbs off today and should take the beating. Been well backed already.
16.25 Gowran Park - Sizing Tennessee
Debut 4th behind Clondaw Kaempher, rated 140 over hurdles, and a nice recruit of Nicky Hendersons Snake Eyes. Won seasonal reappearance, easily, by 7.5 lengths and can hopefully follow up today.

23/01/13 Results

Good day today with the NAP Paparrazi Kid wins at 4-9 and EW selection Ballybogey wins at 8/1. Sadly, Sweet Liberta had to settle for 3rd but an EW price was available if backed early enough. Selections for tomorrow uup later

Tuesday 22 January 2013

23/01/13 Tips

13.40 Ayr - Ballybogey EW
Ap chooses to ride this after riding the decent Kings Palace in its last two races. 2nd behind Green Flag, at this track, is good form with the drop in trip likely to suit. THIMAAR could be a very good recruit to this sphere, with a rating on the flat of 107, but can't take him at the likely short price about him as he may not be able to translate that form over hurdles. Also, the ground would be a worry about him.
13.45 Limerick - Paparrazi Kid NAP
2nd last 3 times over hurdles. Run last time out was good form as 5th and 6th have since come out and won maiden hurdles. Ruby gets back on board today.
19.30 Kempton - Sweet Liberta NB
Due to run on Monday before kempton was called off. Raised 6lb for last weeks 4 length win, that penalty is offset by good apprentice Daniel Muscutts 7lb claim.

22/01/13 Results

A shocking day with no winners at all. Didn't fancy any of them strongily as none deserved Nap, but that is no excuse. Four meetings scheduled for tomorrow and selections will be up later. 

Monday 21 January 2013

22/01/13 Tips

12.20 Lingfield - Wicked Wench
Drops into selling grade for the first time. Top Rated horse in the field yet carries bottom weight.
13.50 Lingfield - Fratellino
Ran well last time in a hot handicap over 6f where he led until weaking in the final furlong. Had Swiss Cross behind on the that occasion. Drop in trip should suit.
14.00 Wolverhampton - Lady Malet
2nd behind Rene Mathis is strong form as he since won off 79. Also, 2nd last time out shows he has the beating of Polar Forest who was 3 lengths behind in 4th.
15.00 lingfield - Derwentwater 
Derwentwater has finished his last 2 races here over 7f really well and only receives a 1lb rise today. Rab Havlin takes over - he is 2/2 on gosdens 3yos this year. Gosdens only runner on the cards
 

21/01/13 Results

Unfortunately, the 'all weather' surface at kempton was called off due to the weather. Leaving us with just one selection which won easily as expected. Short odds but a winner is a winner. Hopefully we don't get any call offs tomorrow, selections up later.

Sunday 20 January 2013

21/01/13 Tips

Just two cards to look at tomorrow both of which are on the AW and have early inspections.
13.50 Kempton - Sweet Liberta Nap
Won a week ago by 4.5 lengths and has a 6lb penalty for that win but useful apprentice Daniel Muscutt takes 7lbs off, effectively making Sweet Liberta 1lb lower than her winning run last week.
15.20 Kempton - Aryal NB
Finished 3rd on debut and likelt to have learned alot from that run. Form of that run been franked by 2nd winning by 7 lengths of a rating of 66. Connections won this race last year with the decent Prussian on his second start now rated 99.
16.20 Kempton - Queen of Skies EW
Could potentially be well treated first time in handicap company and upped in trip. Also has a good draw in 2. Consistent Neige D'antan could be one for a forecast/ reverse forecast.
17.05 Wolverhampton - Exning Hall
Very short price but should easily win this race.